Why Take the DIY Approach to Stock Analysis?
Nobody expects you to become your own doctor or lawyer, so why should you be your own stock analyst? For some, it’s about independence and the joy of the process. Warren Buffett famously enjoys the art of investing, and if you’re the self-reliant type, becoming your own analyst might be the right move. With concerns about the credibility of some analysts, learning to analyze stocks yourself can be empowering and insightful.
Key Takeaways
- Wall Street analysts rely on corporate financial data to recommend stocks and set target prices.
- Individual investors can employ similar strategies to identify undervalued stocks and set their own price targets.
- This guide walks through the basic steps of researching and analyzing stocks.
Stock Analysis Is a Process
Whether you seek growth or value investments, successful stock analysis starts with developing a questioning mind. Your goal is to determine which stocks to buy or sell and at what price. Professional analysts focus deeply on specific industries or sectors, researching selected companies within them. This involves analyzing financial statements, assessing competitors, and sometimes engaging directly with company management.
For individual investors, the biggest hurdle isn’t access to information—it’s time. Start small by analyzing one or two companies, and gradually expand as you gain experience. Comparative analysis across companies in the same industry is especially useful.
Best to Start Where You Are
Begin by reading analyst reports. These offer a quick overview of a company’s strengths, weaknesses, competitors, industry outlook, and future prospects. Use these reports to identify common threads and discrepancies, which can help sharpen your judgment. While you shouldn’t blindly follow recommendations, reports can be a useful springboard for your own analysis.
What to Analyze
Stock analysis involves several interconnected steps:
Industry Analysis
Publicly available resources—such as annual reports, trade magazines, and industry-specific websites—provide valuable insights into an industry’s growth potential and competitive landscape. Comparing the annual reports of multiple companies can clarify the broader picture.
Business Model Analysis
Understand the company’s strengths, weaknesses, and unique attributes. Does it have a strong brand identity or innovative products? Is it operating in a strong or weak industry? Annual reports, trade publications, and company websites are excellent resources for this.
Financial Strength
Understanding a company’s financials is essential. Analyze the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement to uncover a company’s true financial position. Numbers often reveal more than the polished language in annual reports. If you’re not yet comfortable with financial statements, now is the time to learn.
Management Quality
Strong leadership is a key factor in a company’s success. Research the company’s key executives and board members, as their decisions shape its future. Information about management teams is widely available online.
Growth Analysis
Stock prices tend to follow earnings. Study past sales growth, profit margins, and industry trends to estimate future earnings. Accurate earnings forecasts demonstrate your understanding of the company and its sector.
Valuations
Assess whether the stock’s current price aligns with its intrinsic worth. Value investors focus on intrinsic value, while growth investors prioritize earning potential. Compare the stock’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio with its peers and industry benchmarks to determine if it’s over- or underpriced.
Target Price
Set a high and low target price for the stock by multiplying estimated earnings per share (EPS) with high and low P/E ratios. This creates a price range reflecting the stock’s likely future movement.
FAQs for Aspiring Stock Analysts
What Do Stock Analysts Do?
Analysts conduct in-depth fundamental analysis of companies to estimate their fair value and provide buy, sell, or hold recommendations.
What Are Bottom-Up Tools for Analysis?
Bottom-up analysis starts with financial statements, examining ratios like debt-to-equity (D/E), quick ratio, and inventory turnover to assess a company’s financial health.
What Should I Do If a Stock Exceeds Its Target Price?
If your analysis is sound, sell the stock once it hits or exceeds your target price. Reassess for any fundamental changes before deciding.
The Bottom Line
Investing is about making informed decisions, not blindly following advice. By developing your own analytical skills, you gain control over your investment choices. While not everyone will become a master investor, improving your understanding of stocks is always a step in the right direction.